ATS spreads, moneyline, player props, and parlays — every week of the NFL season. Picks come from a self-improving algorithm that re-evaluates every signal weekly. No gut feelings. No guessing.
Live 2026 Results · Blitz Model
Top picks only — games where the Blitz model has the highest conviction. Updated live as games finish.
Recent Weeks — ATS · Blitz
How It Works
Every game is scored across 8 matchup dimensions. Weights shift weekly based on what's actually predicting covers — not what looked good last year.
Each game is graded on sack rate, 3rd down efficiency, red zone conversion, explosive play rate, and four more dimensions. Weights adjust by game context — divisional dogs aren't scored the same as large home favorites.
Every Tuesday, a scanner tests every matchup pattern from games played this season. Signals that predict ATS results at above-chance rates get ranked — the strongest ones feed into the next model version.
When a new signal combination beats the current model's top-pick win rate, a new version publishes automatically. Prior versions are preserved — you can compare them or revert anytime.
Pick Models
New models publish automatically when they beat the current one. You pick which model drives your picks.
What You Get
ATS, moneyline, O/U, and props every week — ranked by model conviction. No tiers, no locked content.
Every game scored and ranked. Top picks — where the model has the highest conviction — are surfaced first. The stats above reflect top picks only.
Favorites the model agrees with, filtered by spread size and edge. Divisional games and close spreads are flagged — no blind chalk.
Totals picks derived from predicted margin and team pace. Flagged on divisional matchups and games with a strong model lean.
Passing yards and other player props modeled against defensive matchup data. Filtered to games where the line has the most exploitable gap.
Sign up with your phone number. No credit card. No subscription.
Get My Free Picks →